Rock Paper Scissors (RPS) is often thought of as a game of pure luck. After all, with only three options to choose from, it seems difficult to gain any real advantage over your opponent. However, with the help of analytics, it is possible to greatly increase your chances of winning.
First off, it is important to understand the basic probabilities of RPS. Rock, paper, and scissors each have an equal chance of being chosen (33.3%). However, humans are not perfect and tend to have biases in their decision-making. For example, people often unconsciously choose paper as their first move, making it the most commonly played option. By analyzing the patterns of your opponent’s past moves, you can start to predict their future choices with greater accuracy.
One method of analyzing your opponent’s moves is called Markov analysis. This technique involves creating a matrix that shows the likelihood of your opponent choosing each option based on their previous move. With this information, you can make an educated guess about their next move and choose accordingly.
Another strategy involves tracking your own moves to avoid repeating the same one multiple times in a row. This not only makes it harder for your opponent to predict your choice, but it also prevents you from falling into predictable patterns.
Some websites and apps have also been developed that use analytics to help users improve their RPS skills. For example, the website RPS 101 offers a training program that uses machine learning to identify patterns in your own moves and provide feedback on how to improve your strategy.
In addition to using analytics to predict your opponent’s moves, it is important to pay attention to nonverbal cues and patterns in their behavior. For example, a player who is feeling confident may make a more aggressive move, while a player who is feeling unsure may choose a more defensive option.
Ultimately, while RPS may seem like a game of pure luck on the surface, it is possible to gain an advantage through careful analysis and strategic thinking. By employing analytics to predict your opponent’s moves and paying attention to their behavior, you can increase your chances of coming out on top in this classic game.