The study was conducted by scientists from the University of Tokyo, who analyzed over 1,500 RPS games played by 96 participants. They found that the most common move was the “rock” gesture, which was chosen 35.4% of the time. This was followed by “paper” at 33.0% and “scissors” at 31.6%. While these percentages appear to be fairly evenly distributed, the scientists also found that players tended to be predictable in their choices.
According to the study, players who won a round were more likely to repeat the same gesture in the following round. For example, if a player won with “rock,” they were likely to play “rock” again in the next round. This phenomenon is known as the “win-stay, lose-shift” strategy, and it is a common tactic used in RPS.
However, the scientists also found that this strategy could be easily exploited by opponents who were paying attention. Players who noticed their opponent’s pattern could start to predict their moves and counter them accordingly. For example, if an opponent was consistently playing “rock” after a win, a savvy player might play “paper” instead of “scissors” in the next round, knowing that their opponent was likely to choose “rock” again.
Overall, the study revealed that RPS is not just a game of chance, but also involves elements of psychology and strategy. While the most common move may be “rock,” players who are able to mix up their gestures and anticipate their opponent’s moves can increase their chances of winning. So the next time you’re playing RPS, remember that there’s more to it than meets the eye.
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